(5) Economic Evaluation of Rituximab + Recombinant Human Thrombopoietin vs. Rituximab for the Treatment of Second-Line Idiopathic Thrombocytopenic Purpura in China

Home

Questions

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

26

Papers

PMCID: 8012846 (link)

Year: 2021

Reviewer Paper ID: 5

Project Paper ID: 19

Q1 - Title

Question description: Does the title clearly identify the study as an economic evaluation and specify the interventions being compared?

Explanation: The title of the manuscript clearly identifies the study as an economic evaluation and specifies the interventions being compared. It mentions both Rituximab + Recombinant Human Thrombopoietin and Rituximab as the treatments under evaluation.

Quotes:

  • Economic Evaluation of Rituximab + Recombinant Human Thrombopoietin vs. Rituximab for the Treatment of Second-Line Idiopathic Thrombocytopenic Purpura in China

Q2 - Abstract

Question description: Does the abstract provide a structured summary that includes the context, key methods, results, and alternative analyses?

Explanation: The abstract provides a structured summary that includes the objective context of the economic evaluation, the key methods using a Markov model, the results in terms of QALYs and cost-effectiveness, and alternative analyses through sensitivity analyses performed to test the stability of the model.

Quotes:

  • Objective: This study aimed to compare the economic evaluation of recombinant human thrombopoietin+rituximab (rhTPO + RTX) vs. RTX as second-line treatment for adult patients with immunologic thrombocytopenic purpura in China.
  • Methods: The Markov model was used in our research. The response rate and relapse rate data were derived from two clinical trials and one retrospective study.
  • Results: In the Markov model, compared with RTX, rhTPO+RTX yielded an additional 0.04 QALYs, with an incremental cost of 2,802 USD. The ICER was 69,097 USD/QALY.
  • In addition, one-way sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis were performed to observe the stability of the model and data source.

Q3 - Background and objectives

Question description: Does the introduction provide the context for the study, the study question, and its practical relevance for decision-making in policy or practice?

Explanation: The introduction of the manuscript provides the necessary context by discussing the autoimmune nature of idiopathic thrombocytopenic purpura (ITP), its incidence, and economic burden in China. It also outlines the current treatment landscape and identifies a gap in the economic evaluation of combination therapy, which directly relates to its practical relevance in healthcare decision-making.

Quotes:

  • Idiopathic thrombocytopenic purpura (ITP), also referred to as primary immune thrombocytopenia, is a disorder mediated by autoimmunity that mainly leads to the increased destruction and decreased production of platelets.
  • Chronic ITP causes a certain socioeconomic burden and decreases patients' quality of life due to the occurrence of bleeding and the increase in mortality.
  • However, compared with RTX monotherapy, the cost of combination therapy is relatively high, and there is no related economic evaluation in China.
  • The purpose of the study was to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of rhTPO+RTX as second-line treatment in patients with chronic ITP in China.

Q4 - Health economic analysis plan

Question description: Was a health economic analysis plan developed, and if so, where is it available?

Explanation: The manuscript indicates that a health economic analysis plan was developed as part of the study's methodology. This is evidenced by the detailed description of the Markov model used for economic evaluation, and the Supplementary Material, which typically contains additional methodological details.

Quotes:

  • A Markov model with an embedded decision tree was used with a month cycle, and a 30-year time horizon was taken in the base-case analysis, developed from the perspective of the Chinese health care system.
  • Supplementary Material: The Supplementary Material for this article can be found online.

Q5 - Study population

Question description: Are the characteristics of the study population (e.g., age range, demographics, socioeconomic, or clinical characteristics) described?

Explanation: The manuscript provides details about the study population, specifying characteristics such as age and treatment history. It clearly outlines that the patient cohort involved in the study is similar to the patients from a specific trial with a median age of 42 years and that they had failed to respond to corticosteroids or had experienced a relapse.

Quotes:

  • "The patient cohort was defined as having similar characteristics as patients from the rhTPO+RTX phase 3 trial. All of the patients were assumed to be non-splenectomized, and the median age was assumed to be 42 years."
  • "A treatment-sequence Markov model was developed to assess the cost-effectiveness of rhTPO+RTX vs. RTX as second-line treatment for adult chronic ITP patients who had failed to respond to corticosteroids or who had experienced relapse."

Q6 - Setting and location

Question description: Is relevant contextual information (such as setting and location) provided that may influence the findings of the study?

Explanation: The manuscript provides relevant contextual information regarding the setting and location, which may influence the study's findings.

Quotes:

  • 'Objective: This study aimed to compare the economic evaluation of recombinant human thrombopoietin+rituximab (rhTPO + RTX) vs. RTX as second-line treatment for adult patients with immunologic thrombocytopenic purpura in China.'
  • 'In China, glucocorticoids and intravenous immunoglobulin G are usually used as first-line treatment for adult ITP patients.'
  • 'A Markov model with an embedded decision tree was used with a month cycle, and a 30-year time horizon was taken in the base-case analysis, developed from the perspective of the Chinese health care system.'

Q7 - Comparators

Question description: Are the interventions or strategies being compared described, along with the rationale for their selection?

Explanation: The manuscript describes the interventions being compared, namely rituximab (RTX) and recombinant human thrombopoietin combined with rituximab (rhTPO + RTX), and provides the rationale for selecting these treatments as second-line options. It discusses the clinical benefits of combining rhTPO with RTX, as suggested by a study that highlighted improved remission and control over recurrence rates than RTX alone, which influenced their recommendation in the Chinese guidelines for ITP treatment.

Quotes:

  • 'In China, glucocorticoids and intravenous immunoglobulin G are usually used as first-line treatment for adult ITP patients.... Second-line treatment includes rituximab (RTX), recombinant human thrombopoietin (rhTPO), rhTPO+RTX, and splenectomy.'
  • 'The study of Zhou et al. found that RTX combined with rhTPO as second-line treatment had high benefits in terms of the remission rate and the control of the recurrence rate, so this combination has been recommended by the Chinese guideline on the diagnosis and management of adult primary immune thrombocytopenia (version 2020).'

Q8 - Perspective

Question description: What perspective(s) were adopted by the study, and why were they chosen?

Explanation: The study was conducted from the perspective of the Chinese healthcare system, focusing on costs and resource usage relevant to that system. This perspective was chosen because it allows a detailed assessment of the direct costs associated with medication, hospitalizations, and treatment strategies within the context of healthcare delivery in China.

Quotes:

  • "A 30-year time horizon was taken in the base-case analysis, developed from the perspective of the Chinese health care system."
  • "Costs were assessed in dollars, with 2020 values, from the perspective of the Chinese health care system."

Q9 - Time horizon

Question description: What is the time horizon for the study, and why is it appropriate?

Explanation: The manuscript clearly outlines a 30-year time horizon for the study, justified by the chronic nature of ITP and the median patient age of 42 years, making it appropriate to capture the long-term economic and clinical impacts associated with the treatments being compared.

Quotes:

  • A Markov model with an embedded decision tree was used with a month cycle, and a 30-year time horizon was taken in the base-case analysis, developed from the perspective of the Chinese health care system.
  • A 30-year time horizon was thought to be appropriate, since adult ITP tends to be a chronic disease and the median age of the patients was 42.

Q10 - Discount rate

Question description: What discount rate(s) were used, and what was the rationale for choosing them?

Explanation: The manuscript specifies that costs and outcomes in the analysis were discounted at a 5% annual rate, as recommended by the China Guidelines for Pharmacoeconomic Evaluations.

Quotes:

  • Costs and outcomes were discounted at a 5% annual rate, as recommended by the China Guidelines for Pharmacoeconomic Evaluations.

Q11 - Selection of outcomes

Question description: What outcomes were used as measures of benefit and harm?

Explanation: The manuscript uses QALYs (Quality-Adjusted Life Years) as a measure of benefit. Harm was assessed in terms of incremental costs and cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs), indicating the economic burden of each treatment strategy.

Quotes:

  • In the Markov model, compared with RTX, rhTPO+RTX yielded an additional 0.04 QALYs, with an incremental cost of 2,802 USD. The ICER was 69,097 USD/QALY.
  • The results of this economic evaluation indicated that rhTPO+RTX treatment was more costly and more effective than RTX alone for the second-line treatment of adult ITP.
  • The total costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) per patient and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) were calculated.

Q12 - Measurement of outcomes

Question description: How were the outcomes used to capture benefits and harms measured?

Explanation: The manuscript mentions the use of quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) to measure the benefits and harms associated with the treatment strategies. It describes how utility values and effectiveness determined through platelet counts were used to calculate QALYs in a Markov model, helping capture both benefits and harms.

Quotes:

  • 'In the Markov model, compared with RTX, rhTPO+RTX yielded an additional 0.04 QALYs, with an incremental cost of 2,802 USD.'
  • 'The total costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) per patient and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) were calculated.'
  • 'Utility...The utility when platelet count \>=30 x109/L was assumed to be the same as sufficient platelets.'

Q13 - Valuation of outcomes

Question description: What population and methods were used to measure and value the outcomes?

Explanation: The manuscript clearly describes the population and methods used to measure and value the outcomes, focusing on adult chronic ITP patients who had failed previous treatments. The study utilized a Markov model for economic evaluation and collected clinical data from specified clinical trials.

Quotes:

  • A treatment-sequence Markov model was developed to assess the cost-effectiveness of rhTPO+RTX vs. RTX as second-line treatment for adult chronic ITP patients who had failed to respond to corticosteroids or who had experienced relapse.
  • Clinical efficacy data were derived from three clinical trials. The efficacy of each treatment within the model was characterized by the following parameters...
  • A Markov model with an embedded decision tree was used... The treatment sequence used in the model was based on the Chinese guidelines on the diagnosis and management of adult primary immune thrombocytopenia (version 2020).

Q14 - Measurement and valuation of resources and costs

Question description: How were the costs valued in the study?

Explanation: The study valued the costs by using 2020 dollar values from the perspective of the Chinese healthcare system. Costs included drug acquisition, splenectomy treatment, and hospitalization events, derived from a third-party database and published literature in China.

Quotes:

  • Costs were assessed in dollars, with 2020 values, from the perspective of the Chinese health care system.
  • The resource use and costs were derived from a third-party database (www.yaozhi.com) and published literature in China.

Q15 - Currency, price, date, and conversion

Question description: What are the dates of the estimated resource quantities and unit costs, and what currency and year were used for conversion?

Explanation: The manuscript specifies that the costs and resource use were estimated in 2020 US dollars and were obtained from the perspective of the Chinese healthcare system when estimating the resource quantities and unit costs.

Quotes:

  • Costs were assessed in dollars, with 2020 values, from the perspective of the Chinese health care system.

Q16 - Rationale and description of model

Question description: If a model was used, was it described in detail, including the rationale for its use? Is the model publicly available, and where can it be accessed?

Explanation: The manuscript provides a detailed description of the Markov model used in the study, including inputs, outputs, and rationale for using this model type. However, there is no information regarding the public availability of the model or instructions on how to access it, which was an aspect of the question.

Quotes:

  • The Markov model was used in our research.
  • A treatment-sequence Markov model was developed to assess the cost-effectiveness of rhTPO+RTX vs. RTX as second-line treatment...
  • A Markov model with an embedded decision tree was used with a month cycle, and a 30-year time horizon was taken in the base-case analysis, developed from the perspective of the Chinese health care system.

Q17 - Analytics and assumptions

Question description: What methods were used for analyzing or statistically transforming data, extrapolation, and validating any models used?

Explanation: The manuscript details several methods used for analyzing and validating data, including the use of a Markov model and sensitivity analyses. Parametric survival distributions were fitted for extrapolation, and models were validated using sensitivity analyses to test their stability.

Quotes:

  • The Markov model was used in our research.
  • In addition, one-way sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis were performed to observe the stability of the model and data source.
  • The time to relapse in rhTPO+RTX/RTX treatment was estimated by fitting parametric survival distributions to pseudo-individual participant data (IPD) derived from digitized Kaplan-Meier curves from the study by Zhou et al., and pseudo-IPD data were extracted with Engauge Digitizer software.
  • We considered five standard parametric models to fit two curves: exponential distribution, Weibull distribution, Gompertz distribution, loglogistic distribution, and lognormal distribution.

Q18 - Characterizing heterogeneity

Question description: What methods were used to estimate how the results vary for different sub-groups?

Explanation: The manuscript does not describe specific methods used to estimate how results vary for different sub-groups. It mainly focuses on the overall cost-effectiveness analysis of treatments using a Markov model without detailing subgroup analyses.

Quotes:

  • The manuscript does not mention any subgroup analysis or different sub-groups in the methods section or elsewhere. It focuses on Markov model and sensitivity analyses to evaluate cost-effectiveness but not on subgroup evaluations.
  • Sensitivity Analysis section describes one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses but not subgroup analysis.

Q19 - Characterizing distributional effects

Question description: How were the impacts distributed across different individuals, and were adjustments made to reflect priority populations?

Explanation: The manuscript does not explicitly mention any adjustments to reflect priority populations or how impacts were distributed across different individuals. It focuses on economic evaluation without segmentation by individual characteristics or adjustments for priority groups.

Quotes:

  • The patient cohort was defined as having similar characteristics as patients from the rhTPO+RTX phase 3 trial.
  • In addition, one-way sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis were performed to observe the stability of the model and data source.

Q20 - Characterizing uncertainty

Question description: What methods were used to characterize sources of uncertainty in the analysis?

Explanation: The manuscript describes the use of one-way sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis to account for sources of uncertainty in the economic model. These methods help assess how variation in different parameters affects the model's results.

Quotes:

  • In addition, one-way sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis were performed to observe the stability of the model and data source.
  • One-way sensitivity analysis was performed to identify the parameters to which the model was most sensitive.
  • Probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) was conducted using 1,000 iterations to examine parameter uncertainty over the entire model, and cost-effectiveness acceptability curves (CEACs) were then calculated.

Q21 - Approach to engagement with patients and others affected by the study

Question description: Were patients, service recipients, the general public, communities, or stakeholders engaged in the design of the study? If so, how?

Explanation: The manuscript does not mention any engagement or involvement of patients, service recipients, the general public, communities, or stakeholders in the study design. It primarily focuses on data from clinical trials, literature, databases, and guidelines for assessing the cost-effectiveness of treatments.

Quotes:

  • The response rate and relapse rate data were derived from two clinical trials and one retrospective study. Cost and utility values were derived from published literature, a third-party database, and healthcare documents.
  • The data was based on previously published trial, not from the database or the medical records.
  • we assumed that all patients had never received splenectomy treatment, which might be slightly inconsistent with the real-world situation;
  • There are other second-line treatment options like eltrombopag, romiplostim, azathioprine, cyclosporine A, danazol, vinca alkaloid etc, which may affect the model treatment pathways and further impact the cost evaluations.

Q22 - Study parameters

Question description: Were all analytic inputs or study parameters (e.g., values, ranges, references) reported, including uncertainty or distributional assumptions?

Explanation: The manuscript reports detailed analytic inputs, including values, ranges, and references with specified distributions. It extensively describes the uncertainty in clinical efficacy, utility values, and cost data, and it employs sensitivity analyses to assess parameter stability.

Quotes:

  • Clinical efficacy data were derived from three clinical trials.
  • The model was driven by platelet response (platelet count >=30 x 109/L), which determined effectiveness and progression along the treatment pathways.
  • Table 1 presents the deterministic Distribution, Low, High, and References for key inputs.
  • One-way sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis were performed to observe the stability of the model and data source.

Q23 - Summary of main results

Question description: Were the mean values for the main categories of costs and outcomes reported, and were they summarized in the most appropriate overall measure?

Explanation: The manuscript provides both the mean values for the main categories of costs and outcomes for rhTPO+RTX and RTX, summarized in terms of incremental costs and QALYs gained, which are appropriately presented in the form of an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER).

Quotes:

  • The base-case model results (Table 2) indicated that rhTPO+RTX treatment resulted in an average of $2,802 higher costs for 0.041 QALYs over a 30-year timespan than RTX.
  • In the base-case analysis with a 30-year time horizon, the economic, and health outcomes calculated using the Markov model are presented in Table 2. We found that the ICER in the Markov model was $69,097/QALY.

Q24 - Effect of uncertainty

Question description: How did uncertainty about analytic judgments, inputs, or projections affect the findings? Was the effect of the choice of discount rate and time horizon reported, if applicable?

Explanation: The manuscript provides evidence that the choice of discount rate and time horizon were reported and affected the findings. The analysis used a 30-year time horizon with a 5% annual discount rate, which aligned with the assumptions for a chronic condition such as ITP and the median patient age of 42. Sensitivity analysis was also conducted to assess the influence of these inputs on the model's stability.

Quotes:

  • A Markov model with an embedded decision tree was used with a month cycle, and a 30-year time horizon was taken in the base-case analysis, developed from the perspective of the Chinese health care system.
  • Costs and outcomes were discounted at a 5% annual rate, as recommended by the China Guidelines for Pharmacoeconomic Evaluations.
  • The CEAC showed that there was a 100% probability that rhTPO+RTX was not cost-effective vs. RTX alone at a threshold of $10,805/QALY and an 84% probability at a threshold of $32,415/QALY, which confirmed the conclusion based on the base-case results.

Q25 - Effect of engagement with patients and others affected by the study

Question description: Did patient, service recipient, general public, community, or stakeholder involvement make a difference to the approach or findings of the study?

Explanation: The manuscript does not mention any involvement from patients, service recipients, the general public, the community, or other stakeholders impacting the approach or findings of the study. The research relied on data from clinical trials, retrospective studies, and existing literature, without noting any stakeholder contributions.

Quotes:

  • Methods: The Markov model was used in our research. The response rate and relapse rate data were derived from two clinical trials and one retrospective study.
  • The study of Zhou et al. found that RTX combined with rhTPO as second-line treatment had high benefits in terms of the remission rate and the control of the recurrence rate, so this combination has been recommended by the Chinese guideline on the diagnosis and management of adult primary immune thrombocytopenia (version 2020).

Q26 - Study findings, limitations, generalizability, and current knowledge

Question description: Were the key findings, limitations, ethical or equity considerations, and their potential impact on patients, policy, or practice reported?

Explanation: The manuscript does not explicitly discuss ethical or equity considerations, and there is no evidence provided about the impact on policy or practice, though it does detail limitations and key findings. The focus is primarily on cost-effectiveness analysis.

Quotes:

  • Several limitations also need to be recognized in our study. First, due to the lack of preference-based research on Chinese adult immune thrombocytopenia patients, utility value data for Chinese adult patients with ITP were not available.
  • This study is the first in China to compare the economic evaluation of rhTPO+RTX and rituximab alone for the treatment of adult chronic ITP.

SECTION: TITLE
Economic Evaluation of Rituximab + Recombinant Human Thrombopoietin vs. Rituximab for the Treatment of Second-Line Idiopathic Thrombocytopenic Purpura in China

SECTION: ABSTRACT
Objective: This study aimed to compare the economic evaluation of recombinant human thrombopoietin+rituximab (rhTPO + RTX) vs. RTX as second-line treatment for adult patients with immunologic thrombocytopenic purpura in China.


Methods: The Markov model was used in our research. The response rate and relapse rate data were derived from two clinical trials and one retrospective study.The Markov model was used in our research. The response rate and relapse rate data were derived from two clinical trials and one retrospective study. Cost and utility values were derived from published literature, a third-party database, and healthcare documents. In addition, one-way sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis were performed to observe the stability of the model and data source.In addition, one-way sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis were performed to observe the stability of the model and data source.ition, one-way sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis were performed to observe the stability of the model and data source.

Results: In the Markov model, compared with RTX, rhTPO+RTX yielded an additional 0.04 QALYs, with an incremental cost of 2,802 USD.In the Markov model, compared with RTX, rhTPO+RTX yielded an additional 0.04 QALYs, with an incremental cost of 2,802 USD. The ICER was 69,097 USD/QALY. According to the results from the one-way sensitivity analysis, complete response of rhTPO+RTX, utility of complete response and response of RTX were the main drivers in the model. The results from the probabilistic sensitivity analysis demonstrated that there was a 100% probability that rhTPO+RTX was not cost-effective vs. RTX alone at a threshold of $10,805/QALY and an 84% probability at a threshold of $32,415/QALY.

Conclusion: RTX+rhTPO was not more cost-effective than RTX alone as second-line treatment for adult patients with immunologic thrombocytopenic purpura in China.

SECTION: INTRO
Introduction

Idiopathic thrombocytopenic purpura (ITP), also referred to as primary immune thrombocytopenia, is a disorder mediated by autoimmunity that mainly leads to the increased destruction and decreased production of platelets. The disease is characterized by lower peripheral platelet counts than normal. In adults, ITP is a chronic disease with a very low rate of spontaneous remission, requiring drug intervention. Epidemiological research on ITP in China shows that the incidence of ITP is ~9.5 in 100,000 per year, and its incidence in adult females is greater than that in adult males (2:1 ratio), which might be related to the fact that adult women are more likely to develop autoimmune system diseases. Chronic ITP causes a certain socioeconomic burden and decreases patients' quality of life due to the occurrence of bleeding and the increase in mortality. Approximately 8.7% of patients have another autoimmune system disease, bleeding or thrombosis. The death risk of ITP patients is 1.5 times higher than that of the general population. Various studies have shown that adult ITP patients incur significant medical costs (the costs are mainly driven by the costs of hospitalization, bleeding, medication, and surgery) and have lower productivity at work. From the global perspective, the economic burden of chronic ITP at present has been illustrated. In Europe, the annual hospitalization cost was ~$ 26,581 per patient in 2007, and the cost of emergency medicine for bleeding caused by ITP was also high in France. In the US, the annual cost of drug treatment alone for ITP has been estimated to be ~$28,000 on average for each patient per year (2000-2003). Positive treatment was recommended for adult ITP patients with platelet counts lower than 30 x 109 or between 30 and 50 x 109 and with bleeding or bleeding risk based on the current evidence.

In China, glucocorticoids and intravenous immunoglobulin G are usually used as first-line treatment for adult ITP patients. However, the side effects of the long-term use of glucocorticoids need attention. Second-line treatment includes rituximab (RTX), recombinant human thrombopoietin (rhTPO), rhTPO+RTX, and splenectomy.
. The study of Zhou et al. found that RTX combined with rhTPO as second-line treatment had high benefits in terms of the remission rate and the control of the recurrence rate, so this combination has been recommended by the Chinese guideline on the diagnosis and management of adult primary immune thrombocytopenia (version 2020). However, compared with RTX monotherapy, the cost of combination therapy is relatively high, and there is no related economic evaluation in China. The purpose of the study was to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of rhTPO+RTX as second-line treatment inThe purpose of the study was to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of rhTPO+RTX as second-line treatment in patients with chronic ITP in China.

SECTION: METHODS
Methods

Patient Population and Model Structure

A treatment-sequence Markov model was developed to assess the cost-effectiveness of rhTPO+RTX vs. RTX as second-line treatment for adult chronic ITP patients who had failed to respond to corticosteroids or who had experienced relapse.
A treatment-sequence Markov model was developed to assess the cost-effectiveness of rhTPO+RTX vs. RTX as second-line treatment for adult chronic ITP patients who had failed to respond to corticosteroids or who had experienced relapse. The patient cohort was defined as having similar characteristics as patients from the rhTPO+RTX phase 3 trial. All of the patients were assumed to be non-splenectomized, and the median age was assumed to be 42 years.The patient cohort was defined as having similar characteristics as patients from the rhTPO+RTX phase 3 trial. All of the patients were assumed to be non-splenectomized, and the median age was assumed to be 42 years. The following two treatment strategies were compared (Figure 1):

SECTION: FIG
Model treatment pathways for adult immune thrombocytopenia. RTX, rituximab; rhTPO+RTX, recombinant human thrombopoietin+rituximab.

SECTION: METHODS
Since decitabine is recommended as third-line treatment for adult chronic ITP patients, it was assumed that decitabine was received after splenectomy in this pathway. After failing RTX/rhTPO+RTX, patients moved on to splenectomy followed by decitabine.

A Markov model with an embedded decision tree was used with a month cycle, and a 30-year time horizon was taken in the base-case analysis, developed from the perspective of the Chinese health care system.
A Markov model with an embedded decision tree was used with a month cycle, and a 30-year time horizon was taken in the base-case analysis, developed from the perspective of the Chinese health care system.A Markov model with an embedded decision tree was used with a month cycle, and a 30-year time horizon was taken in the base-case analysis, developed from the perspective of the Chinese health care system. A 30-year time horizon was thought to be appropriate, since adult ITP tends to be a chronic disease and the median age of the patients was 42; a 1-month cycle was used to match the evaluation schedule used in the clinical trial of rhTPO+RTX/RTX, splenectomy, and decitabine. Costs and outcomes were discounted at a 5% annual rate, as recommended by the China Guidelines for Pharmacoeconomic Evaluations. by the China Guidelines for Pharmacoeconomic Evaluations. The treatment sequence used in the model was based on the Chinese guidelines on the diagnosis and management of adult primary immune thrombocytopenia (version 2020).

The model was driven by platelet response (platelet count =30 x 109/L), which determined effectiveness and progression along the treatment pathway
(Figures 2, 3). The patients started on the first treatment in the pathway and progressed to the next treatment or were managed with the watch-and-wait strategy if they did not have a complete response (CR) or response (R) or overall response (OR = CR+R) if they experienced relapse (platelet count 30 x 109/L) after responding. Each relapse on active treatment was followed by one cycle period of the watch-and-wait state before initiating the next active treatment.

SECTION: FIG
Embedded decision tree overview. W&W, Watch-and-wait strategy.

Markov model overview driven by platelet response.

SECTION: METHODS
Clinical Inputs

Clinical efficacy data were derived from three clinical trials.
The efficacy of each treatment within the model was characterized by the following parameters:

Probability of CR and R with rhTPO+RTX/RTX treatment;

Probability of OR with splenectomy treatment and decitabine treatment;

Time to relapse with platelet count 30 x109/L of patients with an initial response (including CR, R, and OR) to rhTPO+RTX/RTX treatment, splenectomy treatment, and decitabine treatment.

Efficacy data for rhTPO+RTX/RTX were taken from an open-label prospective randomized controlled clinical trial in 12 centers in China reported by Zhou et al.. This study compared the efficacy and safety of RTX plus rhTPO with RTX alone in patients with ITP who had failed to respond to corticosteroids or who had experienced relapse. The patients were randomized at a ratio of 2:1 into 2 groups: the combination group (rhTPO+RTX, n = 77) and the monotherapy group (RTX, n = 38). The probability of CR and R in the rhTPO+RTX/RTX treatment group was also considered in the Markov model because the study found that the combination of RTX and rhTPO could significantly increase the CR rate, which might bring more benefit to patients.

Efficacy data for splenectomy treatment were taken from one retrospective review of the experience at Institute of Hematology & Blood Diseases Hospital between 1990 and 2003 with adults with chronic ITP. Data from 149 chronic ITP patients were retrospectively analyzed, and relapse-free survival was estimated by Kaplan-Meier analysis. In addition, data for decitabine treatment was taken from a prospective, multicenter study that evaluated the efficacy and safety of low-dose decitabine in adult patients with refractory immune thrombocytopenia by Zhou et al..

The time to relapse in rhTPO+RTX/RTX treatment was estimated by fitting parametric survival distributions to pseudo-individual participant data (IPD) derived from digitized Kaplan-Meier curves from the study by Zhou et al., and pseudo-IPD data were extracted with Engauge Digitizer software. We considered five standard parametric models to fit two curves: exponential distribution, Weibull distribution, Gompertz distribution, loglogistic distribution, and lognormal distribution. The lognormal distribution was the best-fitting curve according to the Akaike information criterion (AIC) (Supplementary Material). The exponential distribution was used to fit the time to relapse in splenectomy treatment and decitabine treatment because its constant risk was suitable for the memoryless characteristics of the Markov model. Although it is important to consider adverse events in the treatment of ITP, the incidence of events was not clearly explained in the literature, and the available evidence of its impact on cost and quality of life was limited. Therefore, the cost and disutilities of adverse events were not included in the model.

Hospitalization Events

In the study by Portielje et al., the incidence of hospital admissions was assessed. The study showed that for those who did not respond to the treatment, the incidence of ITP-related admissions per 1,000 person-years was 183. The per-cycle probability of the incidence was calculated as 0.0167.

Mortality

The model included both natural mortality and high-risk mortality. When platelet count =30 x109/L, natural mortality derived from the Chinese life tables was used, and when platelet count 30 x109/L, high-risk mortality, which was assumed to be 1.5 * natural mortality according to the study by Portielje et al., was used.

Utility

Due to the lack of utility data for Chinese adult ITP patients, utilities from a time trade-off (TTO) survey conducted in the UK were included in our base-case analysis. TTO analysis was used in that survey to directly measure the utility values for 359 adult patients with ITP of the general public, and some assumptions were made as follows:

The utility when platelet count =30 x109/L was assumed to be the same as sufficient platelets
(=50 * 109/L) with no outpatient bleed state in TTO analysis;

The utility when platelet count 30 x109/L was assumed to be the same as low platelets (50 * 109/L) with no outpatient bleed state in TTO analysis.

Costs and Resource Use

Costs were assessed in dollars, with 2020 values, from the perspective of the Chinese health care system.
Costs were assessed in dollars, with 2020 values, from the perspective of the Chinese health care system. The drug acquisition and costs associated with splenectomy treatment and hospitalization events were considered in the model. The resource use and costs were derived from a third-party database (www.yaozhi.com) and published literature in China.

All patients were assumed to weigh 65 kg when estimating the dosages of decitabine treatment, and there was no dose sharing between patients according to the situation in China. The clinical inputs, utilities and costs used in the model are shown in Table 1.

SECTION: TABLE
I Key inputs for the Markov model.

Deterministic Distribution Low High References QoL ut
ility (per year) CR utility 0.86 Beta 0.78 0.95 R utility 0.84 Beta 0.76 0.86 NR utility 0.54 Beta 0.49 0.59 Clinical inputs CR of rhTPO+RTX 0.45 Beta 0.36 0.54 R of rhTPO+RTX 0.34 Beta 0.27 0.41 CR of RTX alone 0.24 Beta 0.19 0.28 R of RTX alone 0.47 Beta 0.38 0.57 OR of splenectomy treatment 0.83 Beta 0.66 0.99 OR of decitabine treatment 0.51 Beta 0.41 0.61 Hospitalization 0.18 Constant Direct costs per cycle ($) Cost of rhTPO 2,883 Gamma 2,860 3,016 YAOZHI Cost of RTX 1,021 Gamma 628 1,474 YAOZHI Cost of splenectomy treatment 1,545 Gamma 1,171 1,545 Cost of decitabine treatment 313 Gamma 226 618 YAOZHI Cost of hospitalization 3,294 Gamma 1,647 4,940 Cost of administration 1.4 Gamma 1 2 Health document Discount 0.05 Constant 0 0.08

RTX, rituximab; rhTPO+RTX, recombinant human thrombopoietin+rituximab; CR, complete response; R, response; NR, non-response; OR, overall response.

SECTION: METHODS
Model Outputs

The total costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) per patient and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) were calculated.


Sensitivity Analysis

One-Way Sensitivity Analysis

One-way sensitivity analysis was performed to identify the parameters to which the model was most sensitive. The upper and lower limits of the inputs were defined by 95% confidence intervals where possible and derived from the original literature or with plausible variation around the base-case values by 20%.

Probabilistic Sensitivity Analysis

Probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) was conducted using 1,000 iterations to examine parameter uncertainty over the entire model, and cost-effectiveness acceptability curves (CEACs) were then calculated.

Ethics

The data was based on previously published trial, not from the database or the medical records. We used the Engauge Digitizer software to get the time to relapse information from the figures in the paper and reconstructed data by ourselves, which was explained in the Section "Clinical Inputs." Besides, the utilities and costs were derived from the published literatures, so ethics approval or specific consent procedures were not required for this study.

SECTION: RESULTS
Results

Base Case

The base-case model results (Table 2) indicated that rhTPO+RTX treatment resulted in an average of $2,802 higher costs for 0.041 QALYs over a 30-year timespan than RTX. In the base-case analysis with a 30-year time horizon, the economic, and health outcomes calculated using the Markov model are presented in Table 2. We found that the ICER in the Markov model was $69,097/QALY, which was higher than the willingness-to-pay thresholds of $10,805/QALY (1 GDP per capita) and $32,415/QALY (3 GDP per capita) in China.

SECTION: TABLE
Base-case cost-effectiveness of rhTPO+RTX compared with RTX.

rhTPO+RTX RTX Total costs 8,789 5,987 QALYs gained 10.89 10.85 rhTPO+RTX vs. RTX Incremental total costs 2,802 Incremental QALYs gained 0.04 ICER 69,097

RTX, rituximab; r hTPO+RTX, recombinant human thrombopoietin+ rituximab.

SECTION: RESULTS
One-Way Sensitivity Analysis

Figure 4 shows the results of the one-way sensitivity analysis. The main driver variables were CR of rhTPO+RTX, utility of CR and R of RTX. It should be noted that changes in these variables might cause the result to be reversed at a threshold of $10,805/QALY ~ $32,415/QALY.

SECTION: FIG
One-way sensitivity analysis: rhTPO+RTX vs. RTX. RTX, rituximab; rhTPO+RTX, recombinant human thrombopoietin+rituximab; CR, complete response; R, response; NR, non-response; Dec, decitabine; SP, splenectomy.

SECTION: RESULTS
Probabilistic Sensitivity

The CEACs at different willingness-to-pay thresholds in the model are shown in Figure 5. The results from PSA showed that treatment with RTX alone was more cost-effective than treatment with rhTPO+RTX in the majority of cases (Figure 5). There was a 100% probability that rhTPO+RTX was not cost-effective vs. RTX alone at a threshold of $10,805/QALY and an 84% probability at a threshold of $32,415/QALY (Figure 5).

SECTION: FIG
Cost-effectiveness acceptability frontier for rhTPO+RTX and RTX. RTX, rituximab; rhTPO+RTX, recombinant human thrombopoietin+rituximab.

SECTION: DISCUSS
Discussion

According to the base-case results, the total utilities of the rhTPO+RTX group were higher because the probability of CR and overall response in the rhTPO+RTX group was higher. The results of this economic evaluation indicated that rhTPO+RTX treatment was more costly and more effective than RTX alone for the second-line treatment of adult ITP. The estimated ICER was $69,097/QALY in the model, which indicated that rhTPO+RTX treatment was not cost-effective for the second-line treatment of adult ITP in China. According to the results from the one-way sensitivity analysis, CR of rhTPO+RTX, utility of CR and R of RTX were the main drivers in the model. The CEAC showed that there was a 100% probability that rhTPO+RTX was not cost-effective vs. RTX alone at a threshold of $10,805/QALY and an 84% probability at a threshold of $32,415/QALY, which confirmed the conclusion based on the base-case results.

There are many clinical symptoms of primary immune thrombocytopenia, including asymptomatic thrombocytopenia, skin and mucosal hemorrhage, severe visceral hemorrhage, fatal intracranial hemorrhage, etc. The disease will bring a certain loss of quality of life to patients. In China, RTX is approved for (1) relapsed or refractory, low-grade or follicular, CD20-positive B-cell non-Hodgkin's lymphoma as a single agent; (2) previously untreated follicular, CD20-positive B-cell non-Hodgkin's lymphoma; and (3) previously untreated and previously treated CD20-positive chronic lymphocytic leukemia (http://zy.yaozh.com/instruct/20180711sms/142.pdf). Although it has not been approved for the treatment of adult primary immune thrombocytopenia, RTX alone and rhTPO+RTX have been listed in the Chinese guidelines on the diagnosis and management of adult primary immune thrombocytopenia (version 2020) as a clear recommendation. Although there is consensus among clinical experts confirming the effectiveness and safety of the two therapies, the question of whether they are cost-effective in clinical application has been unanswered in China. To the best of our knowledge, this study is the first in China to compare the economic evaluation of rhTPO+RTX and rituximab alone for the treatment of adult chronic ITP.

Several limitations also need to be recognized in our study. First, due to the lack of preference-based research on Chinese adult immune thrombocytopenia patients, utility value data for Chinese adult patients with ITP were not available. At the same time, there was not enough evidence to support the utilities obtained by the mapping method, so utilities from the UK TTO study were used for analysis. Second, this article did not consider adverse events in the study. The reasons were as follows: (1) according to clinical inputs, the probabilities of adverse events with these two treatment strategies were relatively low and close, without a significant difference; (2) there was not enough evidence to support the cost of related adverse events and the disutilities of adverse events, which would have a certain impact on the final ICER. Besides, in this article, we assumed that all patients had never received splenectomy treatment, which might be slightly inconsistent with the real-world situation; however, considering that the number of patients who had received splenectomy treatment recorded in clinical inputs was 10%, this would not lead to a great bias. In addition, we could find the overall response of RTX alone in the clinical trial is 71.1%, which is higher than most previously reported OR results, which might affect the final results to some extent. The data used in the manuscript was from clinical trials because there was no related information about the efficacy of the rhTPO+RTX in the real-word evidence and data from the same source could reduce the heterogeneity of research. For hospitalization events, difference of the hospitalization rates might exist for two types of treatments (rhTPO+RTX vs. RTX) due to the difference of efficacy and response rates for two treatments. For the higher CR and OR of rhTPO+RTX, the hospitalization rates would be lower in this group, which would lead to the lower ICER. Finally, for the complex real-world situations, generalizability is also a limitation. According to the Chinese guidelines on the diagnosis and management of adult primary immune thrombocytopenia (version 2020), there are other second-line treatment options like eltrombopag, romiplostim, azathioprine, cyclosporine A, danazol, vinca alkaloid etc, which may affect the model treatment pathways and further impact the cost evaluations.

SECTION: CONCL
Conclusion

In summary, the treatment of rhTPO+RTX, compared with rituximab monotherapy, is likely to be not cost effective in China as second-line treatment for adult patients with immunologic thrombocytopenic purpura.

SECTION: SUPPL
Data Availability Statement

All datasets generated for this study are included in the article/Supplementary Material.

Ethics Statement

The data was based on previously published trial, not from the database or the medical records. We used the Engauge Digitizer software to get the time to relapse information from the figures in the paper and reconstructed data by ourselves, which was explained in the Section Clinical Inputs. Besides, the utilities and costs were derived from the published literatures, so ethics approval or specific consent procedures were not required for this study.

Supplementary Material

The Supplementary Material for this article can be found online
at: https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmed.2021.657539/full#supplementary-material